Dynamics of Employment in Slovenia in 2017: Employers’ Estimates
In the first quarter of 2017, the Slovenian labour market will increase according to the Manpower Company forecasts. New jobs have a positive impact on the dynamics of employment in all sectors and regions of the country.
The representatives of the Manpower Company have reported that the survey involved 622 employers, 16% of them predict employment growth, 3% expect for decline in employment and 79% do not expect any change in dynamics.
The net employment outlook with account for seasonal adjustment makes +17% and is the best since the launch of the survey in Slovenia in 2011.
The forecast for the first quarter of 2017 is 5% better than the forecast for the fourth quarter of 2016, and 13% better than the forecast for the first quarter of 2016.
The Growth of Employment Opportunities in All Sectors of the Economy
Employers in all sectors of the economy expect for the employment growth. The most optimistic forecasts relate to the production and the construction industry (net forecast is +24%), the public administration and social services (+17%), the trade (+16%), the financial and business services, the insurance and real estate, and the transportation, logistics and communication spheres (+13% per each).
More restrained forecasts relate to the areas of agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishery. Their net forecast for the first quarter of 2017 makes +7%.
At the quarterly level, the most optimistic expectations are made in the field of financial and commercial services, insurance and real estate, as well as in the public administration and social services (+7%), and at the annual level – in the construction sector (+29%).
The Best Situation Is in Central Slovenia
The dynamics of employment in Slovenia is positive in all four regions of the country, but the best employment prospects are in the Central Slovenia (the Gorenjska Region, the Zasavska Region) with a net forecast of +19%, followed by the south-western Slovenia (Notranjsko-kraška, Gorizia and Obalno-kraška) with +18%, the south-eastern Slovenia (the Lower Sava Statistical Region, Lower Carniola) with +14%, and the north-eastern Slovenia (the Pomurje, Podravje, Carinthia, and Savinja Statistical Regions) with +13%. At the quarterly level, the best employment dynamics is recorded in the south-western Slovenia, and at the annual level – in the central and south-western Slovenia.
The employment forecasts have improved in all groups, and in 3 out of 4 groups, they are the highest in the history of the Manpower survey. In large companies, the net forecast makes +32%, in medium-sized companies it is +21%, in small companies it is +15%, and in micro companies it is +8%. At the quarterly level, the best employment dynamics is in large companies, and at the annual level – in large and medium-sized companies.